As the 2008 presidential election heats
up, so does the wagering on the next
commander-in-chief. On November 4,
2008, the United States will choose a new
president in one of the most anticipated
elections in history. Candidates to replace George W. Bush were
naturally bandied about by pundits the
moment he was re-elected in 2004; however,
most aspirants didn't formally announce
their intentions to run until a few months
ago. Some still haven't committed. Hats in the ring or not, oddsmakers have
made lines for all the contenders, plus a
few pretenders. Here's a rundown: Hilary Clinton - The Comeback Kid Whatever your political affiliation, you
have to admire her ability to bounce back.
In 1998, she was the most publicly cheated
on woman in the world. As a United States
senator, she voted to approve the country's
role in the Iraq war. Now, Hilary Clinton is
the 2/1 favorite to become the next
president, and she's doing it hand-in-hand
with her husband and by promising to end the
war. "I'm in. And I'm in to win," was the
announcement on her website January 20.
Since then, she's been burning up the polls,
consistently emerging as the top choice
within the Democratic Party as well as
versus various Republican candidates. According to oddsmakers, Clinton's
biggest rival within her own party is the
junior senator from Illinois, Barack Obama.
Clinton is is at 5/9
odds to win the Democratic nomination;
Obama is getting 2/1. Despite the fact many believe the
45-year-old Obama isn't qualified to become
president, he does hold one strategic
advantage over Clinton: he opposed the Iraq
war from the start. "Being a leader means that you'd better
do what's right and leave the politics aside
because there are no do-overs on an issue as
important as war," Obama said in a speech
Tuesday. Expect Clinton's initial support of the
Iraq war to be a major point of debate in
the coming months. Depending on how she
handles the heat, the odds could very well
change in Obama's favor. And on the Right... The Republicans have their work cut out
in 2008 and owe most of their problems to
President Bush. In a Newsweek poll
taken in June, Bush's approval rating came
in at 26 percent, the lowest of any sitting
president since Richard Nixon in January
1974. As a result, the Republican Party is
getting 7/5
odds to win the election versus the
favored Democrats at 1/2. Two frontrunners have emerged to snag the
GOP nomination: former Mayor of New York
City Rudy Giuliani and former Tennessee
Senator and Law & Order actor Fred
Thompson. Giuliani is at 3/2
odds to be named the Republican candidate;
Thompson is at 2/1. The close odds seem to defy a CBS
News poll taken June 26-28 that gave
Giuliani a significant lead over Thompson,
34 percent to 21. Many Americans fondly remember Giuliani's
leadership during the attacks of September
11, 2001 and point to his success reducing
crime in New York City. But while his tough stances on terrorism
and government spending sit well with many
Republicans, his three marriages, pro-choice
position and support for gay civil unions
certainly won't help his cause with
Christian conservatives. As for Thompson, he's looking a lot like
a horse that's about to open it up down the
stretch. Though he hasn't formally announced
his candidacy for president, he's expected
to do so soon. What's more, it's expected
he'll have a nice little war chest from
which to work. As one
washingtonpost.com blogger wrote,
Thompson "has one major factor working in
his favor: His political base is in
Tennessee -- a state whose Republican donors
have shown time and time again their
willingness to dig deep to support
candidates." The Dark Horse It's been a long time since former Vice
President Al Gore blew the 2000 presidential
election with a healthy dose of boring
speeches and bad decisions, most notably
distancing himself from the personal
scandals of Bill Clinton, despite the
president's solid approval rating and
exceptional campaigning abilities. Gore has said he's "not planning to be a
candidate again," but hasn't ruled it out
entirely. Book managers are showing caution with
Gore, who's getting 13/1
odds to become president and would
become an instant contender should he decide
to run. Remember that Gore actually won the
popular vote in the 2000 election and has
remained very much in the public eye since
then, starring in the Academy Award-winning
documentary An Inconvenient Truth
and co-founding the Live Earth series of
concerts, which were held July 7. One has to think, for Gore, it'll be
tough to decline a shot at redemption.
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