Contrasting styles of play are
front and center as the four top seeds advance in the East
region.Three teams made the Sweet 16 by blowing out the
competition.
One made it by the skin of its teeth.
But at the end of the day, it all went according to plan.
The only region to advance its top four seeds - No. 1 UNC,
No. 2 Tennessee, No. 3 Louisville and No. 4 Washington State -
the East displayed the least amount of drama in whittling itself
down, but arguably the three most dominant performances.
Consider these numbers:
- UNC outscored opponents 221-151
- WSU outscored opponents 132-91
- Louisville outscored opponents 157-109
Only Tennessee - by way of its narrow win over No. 15
American and an overtime victory over No. 7 Butler - faced the
slightest bit of adversity through the opening two rounds of
March Madness.
So, what to expect from here on in?
Offense Meets Defense
North Carolina is the highest-scoring team in the tournament,
averaging 110.5 points per game.
Washington State is the stingiest defensive team in the
tournament, allowing 40.5 points per game.
So yeah, something's gotta give.
There's no denying that Wazzu has an extremely tall task at
hand. Literally. Stopping 6-foot-10-inch Tyler Hansbrough will
be goal No. 1 and 1a if the Cougars want to make the first Elite
Eight in program history.
However, recent Wazzu history shows that shutting down bigs
is not an impossible feat. Having slugged through a Pac-10
regular season against formidable big men like UCLA's Kevin
Love, Stanford's Brook and Robin Lopez and Washington's Jon
Brockman, the Cougs have learned a thing or two about dealing
with big post presences.
March Madness Betting
Bodog Nation Staff Sweet 16 Picks
Evidence? Wazzu harassed Big East POY Luke Harangody - the
6-foot-9-inch bruiser who averaged 20.4 points and 10.6 rebounds
- to a woeful 3-of-17 shooting performance on Saturday.
Harangody finished with 10 points and a newfound respect for the
Cougar defense, especially the work of underrated big men Aron
Baynes and Caleb Forrest. They'll be primarily in charge of
handling "Psycho T".
Hansbrough aside, the Heels also present the Cougs a
difficult matchup tempo-wise. Carolina amassed a double-digit
lead just five minutes into its game against Arkansas, running
the floor like a pack of gazelles. It was only the third time in
25 years that the Heels won both of their first two tourney
games by 20 or more points. The only other teams to do it, the
1993 and 2005 editions, went on to win the national
championship.
The most interesting numbers for bettors might be the seven
points Wazzu is laying in this contest. In their last 12 games,
the Cougars have only lost one (a 65-55 decision to Arizona) by
more than seven. In fact, their seven losses this season were by
an average of 8.28 points - a strong indicator the Cougs know
how to keep games close.
March Madness Betting
East region Final Four odds
| Team (Seed) |
Odds |
| Louisville |
11/4 |
| North Carolina |
5/7 |
| Tennessee |
13/4 |
| Washington State |
7/1 |
Size Matters
Louisville must now be considered one of the sleeper picks to
win the tournament. They've got a national title-winning coach,
depth, size (four players over 6 feet 9 inches averaging at
least 18 minutes a game) and now, momentum.
While the opposition hasn't been great - Boise State didn't
have the talent, Oklahoma didn't have the backcourt -
Louisville's tournament resume thus far has been impressive
because of its variety. Balanced scoring is the name of the
game; seven players had at least seven points against Oklahoma
while six did it against Boise State.
But that's Tennessee's game as well. With Chris Lofton doing
his best Houdini act through two games - the senior All-American
has just 14 points on 4-of-18 shooting - other Vols have, uh,
volunteered their scoring. Tyler Smith and Wayne Chism stepped
up with 15 and 16 points each. Role player J.P. Prince had a
tremendous all-around game with nine points, seven rebounds and
five assists.
Despite the wealth of options both Rick Pitino and Bruce
Pearl possess, it's the types of options that'll make the
difference. Check out the difference in frontcourt depth between
Louisville and Tennessee:
Get Large
Forward depth for each club:
| Louisville |
Tennessee |
David Padgett | 6'11'
(11.4 ppg | 4.5 rpg) |
Tyler Smith | 6'7'
(14.9 ppg | 6.8 rpg) |
Earl Clark | 6'9'
(10.9 ppg | 8.0 rpg) |
Wayne Chism | 6'9'
(9.9 ppg | 5.8 rpg) |
Derrick Caracter | 6'8'
(8.5 ppg | 4.5 rpg) |
J.P. Prince | 6'7'
(8.3 ppg | 3.3 rpg) |
Juan Palacios | 6'8'
(6.4 ppg | 4.0 rpg) |
Duke Crews | 6'7'
(5.4 ppg | 4.1 rpg) |
In its losses this season, Tennessee has been exposed in the
paint (torn apart by Arkansas' Charles Thomas, Kentucky's
Patrick Patterson and Texas' Connor Atchley) and will have major
issues dealing with the inside game of Louisville.
Best Bet
You can get Louisville right now at
14/1 to win it all in the Bodog Sportsbook. That's a great
number for a team who's been as dominant as any through two
rounds of play.
Headed to the Final Four
It's a saw-off between UNC and Louisville, and the edge goes
to UNC because Ty Lawson is healthy. He's the x-factor for the
entire region because his lightning-quick style of play is such
a lethal contrast to Hansbrough's bull-in-a-china-shop
mentality. Plus, you can never discount the home-court
advantage, which will be a major factor as the Heels make a
Tobacco Road to the Final Four.