If you want to win big betting on
golf, there are a few things you should look for. When
Stephen Ames blew away the field last year in THE PLAYERS
Championship, it stunned the golfing world. It wasn't because the relatively unknown Ames had just won
golf's "fifth major"; it was that he had done it by a whopping
six shots, carding a sizzling final-round 67 on a day in which
the scoring average was a humbling 75.378. The finest golf handicapper in the world couldn't have
predicted such a rout. That said, the finest golf handicapper in the world would've
certainly seen value in betting on Ames. First off, Ames had the name. More specifically, a lack
thereof. Ames had won previously on the PGA Tour (2004 Cialis
Western Open), but being a Canadian who was born in Trinidad and
Tobago, he didn't exactly have a rabid fan following in the
United States. Not surprisingly, he went off at better than
100/1 odds to win THE PLAYERS in most sportsbooks. Second, Ames was playing well at the time. Two weeks before
his big win, he finished in a tie for seventh at the Honda
Classic. Remember that golf is a streaky sport, so it's always
smart to back a player when his confidence is high. Finally, he had a history of success in the tournament, which
since 1982 has been held on the Stadium Course at the TPC at
Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida. In 2002, he finished
second by two strokes. And he might've won if not for New
Zealand's Craig Perks chipping in for eagle at the 16th, making
a long birdie putt at the 17th and then chipping in for par at
No. 18. Two more top-20 finishes in the next three years at THE
PLAYERS would follow for Ames. It was the perfect combination in golf betting: a non-star
that's in a groove while playing a course that fits his eye. And
for anyone who bet a hundred bucks on the formula, at least ten
grand was the prize. THE PLAYERS Championship - Value Picks in 2007 With the 2007 PLAYERS set to tee off Thursday, let's explore
a few other players who might be worth a wager in the tradition
of its defending champion. Vaughn Taylor (66/1)
- Despite his spot on the 2006 Ryder Cup team for the United
States, Taylor is no household name. He got a bit of a publicity
boost at this year's Masters after finishing Friday's round one
shot back of the lead. A 77-75 weekend resulted in a tie for
10th, but it was still a great accomplishment for the Augusta
resident who admirably carried the hometown pressure. The winner of the Renoe-Tahoe Open in both 2003 and 2004,
Taylor has three top-10 finishes in 2007 and has done well in
two career starts at THE PLAYERS. Last year, he snared a tie for
eighth. In 2005, he still managed to finish tied for 32nd after
blowing up on Sunday and shooting 79. John Rollins (100/1)
- After suffering three consecutive cuts at THE PLAYERS from
2003-05, the 31-year-old Rollins broke through in a big way last
year and posted a tie for eighth. The accomplishment highlighted
a wildly inconsistent 2006 season, one where Rollins found
himself cut in 10 of 18 events yet still managed to win, the
victory coming at July's B.C. Open. It was his second career PGA
win, the first coming at the 2002 Canadian Open. This year, Rollins has found much more consistency in his
game. In 12 events he's been cut just once. Two second-place
finishes - at the Bob Hope Chrysler Classic and the Arnold
Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill - have vaulted him all the way
to fifth on the
PGA Tour money list with over $1.9 million in earnings. As
NBCSports.com's Mike Purkey puts it, "He has all the
physical tools and it seems the only thing left for Rollins is
the confidence and the mental toughness to close the deal." Mark Calcavecchia (100/1)
- While Calcavecchia is a name known to even casual fans, the
majority of them don't consider the rotund, 46-year-old a
contender anymore. They should, though. The 1989 British Open champion is
playing some great golf in 2007. In March, he won the PODS
Championship and since then he's cracked the top-25 three times.
In his most recent outing less than a month ago at the Zurich
Classic of New Orleans, he finished in a tie for fifth. Calcavecchia's best outing at THE PLAYERS came all the way
back in 1990 when he finished second. That said, he was in
contention as recently as 2005 when he ended up in a tie for
12th. Scott Verplank (66/1)
- It's always tough to bet on a professional golfer whose last
round was an 80, but Verplank might be worth it. The 80 in
question came last Friday at the Wachovia Championship, but it
also came less than a week after winning the EDS Byron Nelson
Championship, a tournament he
desperately wanted to win in honor of the tournament's
namesake, who was also a mentor to Verplank. "I've never been choked up winning a golf tournament in my
life," Verplank said last week. "There's no crying in golf, but
I'm telling you, I could hardly speak." Verplank, 42, should by now be fully recovered from the
emotional drain as he heads into a tournament that's been good
to him in recent years. In 2005, he ended up tied for second,
one stroke behind winner Fred Funk. In 2003, he cracked the
top-10 with a tie for eighth. *PGA
odds subject to change Get Your $50 Free Bet at Bodog!
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