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Handicapping This Years NCAAF Team Win Totals

Michael  Alexander
Michael Alexander

Michael Alexander is the Founder and Head Handicapper of Alexander Sports.
By: Michael Alexander     Date: Sep 1, 2009
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The College Football begins their NCAAF Picks season this week and with it comes a plethora of opportunities for profitable bets. One of the problems however, is that with so many teams how do you actually pinpoint opportunities for NCAAF picks profits? One way that I have routinely done this and created profits is to go into the season with a plan. One way is to understand the trends of how a team is going to react in the Won/Loss column after either improvement or decline from the previous year. This will allow us to narrow down each weeks possible NCAAF Picks. So, let's take a look at the most recent trends:

One thing that I like to look at is the won-loss record of teams that either improved or got worse by three games or more from the season before. When comparing last year to 2007, 44 of the 120 Divison 1A schools either improved or declined.

So what if a team won three or less games than the year before? Teams in this category actually improved their record the following season. In fact, 63 out of 74 teams in this scenerio improved. Which means that only 11 teams had a worse record. Last year teams who got worse were Tennessee, Michigan, and Central Florida.

What about teams that actually improved by three games from one season compared to their previous? Looking at teams in this scenerio a whopping 80% failed to improved the subsequent year. So, if you're looking at teams that you might want to consider fading this season are Rice, Minnesota, and Ball State.

So if you're looking at betting futures in wins and/or losses for this seasons NCAAF picks keep in mind the above scenerios and you'll be on your way to a profitable season.

Michael Alexander is coming off a huge season last year on the College Grid Iron. Join him this season for all of his GUARANTEED WINNERS and monster football packages.


 





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