Let me start off by saying that I feel the NFL preseason is a great opportunity
to start and build a nice bankroll for the upcoming regular season. Many
handicappers have the opinion that the preseason games should be left alone and
not bet on. I feel just the opposite. If you do your homework the preseason
games offer the betting public a tremendous chance to make a ton of money. In
the 2007 NFL preseason at 10starpicks my preseason selections went a documented
12-3 hitting at a solid
80%.
All these plays were found in my 2007 preseason report I released.
A very
important thing to remember for this upcoming preseason is that there will be 4
new head coaches this season, so previous preseason trends for these teams are
no longer valid. However I have found some nice hidden trends that can still
show us a profit with these teams.
Here are
the 4 teams with new head coaches for the upcoming season:
Atlanta
- Mike Smith
Baltimore -
John Harbaugh
Miami
- Tony
Sparano
Washington –
Jim Zorn
OK so
here are this year’s highly rated preseason money making trends for each team.
AFC
East
Buffalo
– This will be Dick Jauron’s third preseason as head coach of the Bills. In his
first two years as head coach has produced just a .500 record in the preseason
going 4-4 against the spread. However if we take a closer look some interesting
betting trends have already started to form. In the Bills first preseason game
Jauron has had them ready to play covering both of his week one preseason games.
This continues a trend that has seen the Bills go a perfect 4-0 against the
spread in week # 1 of the preseason over the past 4 years. So our first play on
the Bills this preseason will be on August 9th with they visit the
Redskins. While just the opposite is true in their dress rehearsal game where
all the regulars play as Jauron puts no importance in winning this game as the
Bills have lost this game under Jauron’s the last 2 years which also continues a
losing trend while the Bills have lost this important game the last 4
preseason’s. So keep an eye on when the Bills pay a visit to the Colts on August
24th and finally in their last preseason game where the majority of
the teams care nothing about. Jauron has done very well winning both of his last
preseason games outright as a dog. So as you can see the Bills are a perfect
example of have you can hit some nice plays in the preseason.
Probable
preseason quarterback rotations:
J.P. Losman, Trent Edwards, Matt Baker, and Gibran
Hamdan
Miami
– With Bill Parcells taking over as
executive VP for
football operations of the Dolphins, and surrounding himself with all of his
Dallas buddies. Have to look for some improvement from Miami this preseason as
Parcells always tried to win in the preseason. Even when he took over a bad
Cowboys team he immediately started winning in the preseason.
New
England
– Belichick and the Patriots used to be a big money maker in the preseason thru
the years. However since the Super Bowl rings have started to add up the
preseason has just become a waste of time. The only game that Belichick tries in
know is the Patriots dress rehearsal game where they have gone 5-1 against the
spread with their last lost coming back in 04. This year’s dress rehearsal game
is against the Eagles at home on August 22nd.
New York
Jets
– In his two years as head coach of the Jets Eric Mangini has gone just 4-4
against the spread. The only trend that is starting to develop is that under
Mangini the Jets are 3-1 in their preseason road games. Key play this year may
be against the Super Bowl champs on August 23rd.
Probable
preseason quarterback rotations:
Chad Pennington, Kellen Clemens,
Erik Ainge
In the preseason, many head coaches have a track record of wanting to win and
some just don’t care and are just preparing for the regular season. You can find
many games this preseason where you can get a definite edge. Below I have put
together a list of all 32 teams with a breakdown of things to look for this
preseason that will give you that winning advantage.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations:
Josh McCown,
John Beck,
Chad Henne
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Tom Brady, Matt Cassel, Matt
Gutierrez,
Kevin O'Connell
Click here to view all of Tony Stoffo's premium plays.
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