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NFL Betting: AFC North Preseason Report

Tony  Stoffo
Tony Stoffo

Tony Stoffo is the author of the famous gambling book, Money Management for the Year Round Professional.
By: Tony Stoffo     Date: Jul 29, 2008
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Let me start off by saying that I feel the NFL preseason is a great opportunity to start and build a nice bankroll for the upcoming regular season. Many handicappers have the opinion that the preseason games should be left alone and not bet on. I feel just the opposite. If you do your homework the preseason games offer the betting public a tremendous chance to make a ton of money.  In the 2007 NFL preseason at 10starpicks my preseason selections went a documented 12-3 hitting at a solid 80%. All these plays were found in my 2007 preseason report I released.

In the preseason, many head coaches have a track record of wanting to win and some just don’t care and are just preparing for the regular season. You can find many games this preseason where you can get a definite edge. Below I have put together a list of all 32 teams with a breakdown of things to look for this preseason that will give you that winning advantage.

A very important thing to remember for this upcoming preseason is that there will be 4 new head coaches this season, so previous preseason trends for these teams are no longer valid. However I have found some nice hidden trends that can still show us a profit with these teams.

Here are the 4 teams with new head coaches for the upcoming season:

Atlanta - Mike Smith

Baltimore - John Harbaugh

Miami - Tony Sparano

Washington – Jim Zorn

OK so here are this year’s highly rated preseason money making trends for each AFC North team.

AFC North

Baltimore – Strange coaching decision for the Ravens replacing long time head coach Brian Billick with John Harbaugh who has numerous NFL coaching experience. However has never even been an offensive or defensive coordinator in the league. Last season Harbaugh was the secondary coach of the Eagles. His coordinators will be Cam Cameron after his horrible year down in Miami as head coach, and will retain the Ravens defensive coordinator Rex Ryan. With no preseason experience I look for Harbaugh to lean on Ryan as the preseason begins. Saying this there is a very strong trend that can make you some money on the Ravens this preseason. Baltimore in the past three preseason’s have played some really low scoring games with the under going 8-3. With all the new coaches trying to figure things out I really feel this solid trend will continue this season.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations:   Kyle Boller, Troy Smith, Joe Flacco, Brad Roach

Cincinnati – In the early years of the Marvin Lewis rein as the Bengals head coach. The preseason was nothing to talk about. However things have started to turn around as Cincinnati has won 7 of their last 9 preseason games. Plus a strong trend has developed that has seen the Bengals go a perfect 3-0 in their final game of the preseason.  This year we should get the Bengals as a nice dog as they pay a visit to Indianapolis on August 28th.  

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Carson Palmer, Jordan Palmer, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Jeff Rowe.

 Cleveland – The winning ways that Romeo Crennel brought over from New England continued in last year’s preseason as the Browns under his leadership have now gone 9-3 against the spread. With a solid quarterback rotation again look for the Browns to continue their winning ways once again this year in the preseason.

 Probable preseason quarterback rotations:   Derek Anderson, Brady Quinn, Ken Dorsey.

Pittsburgh – In last year’s Preseason Profit report I told you that Mike Tomlin took over as the new head coach of the Steelers. Tomlin was the Minnesota Vikings' defensive coordinator in 2006 after spending the previous five seasons as defensive backs coach for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. In his first preseason as defensive coordinator last year with the Vikings defense ruled in the preseason with Minnesota giving up only 16, 10, 7, and 10 points. May be something we can take advantage of in his first preseason as head coach of the Steelers.  Well this information was right on as the Steelers saw 4 of their 5 preseason games stay under the total. This builds on a strong trend that has now seen the under go 8-1 over the past 2 preseason’s for the Steelers. This is a solid trend here guys so keep your eyes on this total play this year.


Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Ben Roethlisberger, Charlie Batch,
Jared Zabransky, Dennis Dixon.


 





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