Let me start off by saying that I feel the NFL
preseason is a great opportunity to start and build a nice bankroll for the
upcoming regular season. Many handicappers have the opinion that the preseason
games should be left alone and not bet on. I feel just the opposite. If you do
your homework the preseason games offer the betting public a tremendous chance
to make a ton of money. In the 2007 NFL preseason at 10starpicks my preseason
selections went a documented 12-3 hitting at a solid 80%. All these plays were
found in my 2007 preseason report I released. A very important thing to remember for this
upcoming preseason is that there will be 4 new head coaches this season, so
previous preseason trends for these teams are no longer valid. However I have
found some nice hidden trends that can still show us a profit with these teams.
Here are the 4 teams with new head coaches for
the upcoming season: Atlanta - Mike Smith Baltimore - John Harbaugh Miami - Tony Sparano Washington – Jim Zorn OK so here are this year’s highly rated preseason
money making trends for each NFC North team. NFC North Chicago – The Bears under Lovie Smith has
just been another team with only a .500 record over the past 3 preseason’s going
6-6. However a monster preseason total play has developed over the years with
Chicago. The Bears have seen the 'under' go 5-0 in their last preseason game of
the year the past 5 years with 4 of these were against the Browns. This match up
occurs again this year on August 30th when the Bears play Cleveland on the road. Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Rex
Grossman, Kyle Orton, Caleb Hanie, Nick Hill Detroit – Talk about a team that doesn’t
like to play preseason games and that’s the Detroit Lions. In each of the past 4
years the Lions have gone 1-3 against the spread which adds up to a 4-12 record.
Plus they are a perfect 0-4 in their annual dress rehearsal game for the
preseason. In this year’s dress rehearsal game the Lions have to play a Browns
team that loves to win in the preseason. Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Jon
Kitna, Dan Orlovsky, and Drew Stanton Green Bay – In his first year as head
coach of the Packers Mike McCarthy showed no signs of being interested in
winning preseason games as Green Bay went 1-3 against the spread and last year
Green Bay could only manage a 2-2 record. The Packers have also been blown out
in their last 3 dress rehearsal game being outscored 96-33. With a very poor
quarterback rotation in place for this year look for the Green Bay preseason
woes to continue once again especially in week # 3 when they have to go play the
Broncos in their dress rehearsal game.
NFC North
Chicago
– The Bears under Lovie Smith has just been another team with only a .500 record
over the past 3 preseason’s going 6-6. However a monster preseason total play
has developed over the years with Chicago. The Bears have seen the 'under'
go 5-0 in their last preseason game of the year the past 5 years with 4 of these
were against the Browns. This match up occurs again this year on August 30th
when the Bears play Cleveland on the road.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations:
Rex Grossman, Kyle Orton,
Caleb Hanie,
Nick Hill
Detroit
– Talk about a team that doesn’t like to play preseason games and that’s the
Detroit Lions. In each of the past 4 years the Lions have gone 1-3 against the
spread which adds up to a 4-12 record. Plus they are a perfect 0-4 in their
annual dress rehearsal game for the preseason. In this year’s dress rehearsal
game the Lions have to play a Browns team that loves to win in the preseason.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations:
Jon Kitna, Dan Orlovsky, and Drew Stanton
Green Bay
– In his first year as head coach of the Packers Mike McCarthy showed no signs
of being interested in winning preseason games as Green Bay went 1-3 against the
spread and last year Green Bay could only manage a 2-2 record. The Packers have
also been blown out in their last 3 dress rehearsal game being outscored 96-33.
With a very poor quarterback rotation in place for this year look for the Green
Bay preseason woes to continue once again especially in week # 3 when they have
to go play the Broncos in their dress rehearsal game.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Aaron Rogers,
Brian Brohm,
Matt Flynn
Minnesota
– In his first 2 years as the head coach of the Vikings Brad Childress has
started to show some trends that can help us make some money this preseason.
It’s obvious that Brad Childress does not care about the opening preseason game
as he just goes thru the motions losing both in low scoring games. While he is
one of the few coaches that actually tries to win the final preseason game as
the Vikings have covered against the Cowboys over the past 2 years.
Minnesota – In his first 2 years as the head coach of the Vikings Brad
Childress has started to show some trends that can help us make some money this
preseason. It’s obvious that Brad Childress does not care about the opening
preseason game as he just goes thru the motions losing both in low scoring
games. While he is one of the few coaches that actually tries to win the final
preseason game as the Vikings have covered against the Cowboys over the past 2
years.
In the preseason, many head coaches have a track record of wanting to win and
some just don’t care and are just preparing for the regular season. You can find
many games this preseason where you can get a definite edge. Below I have put
together a list of all 32 teams with a breakdown of things to look for this
preseason that will give you that winning advantage.
Click here to view all of Tony Stoffo's premium plays.
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