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NFL Betting: NFC South Preseason Report

Tony  Stoffo
Tony Stoffo

Tony Stoffo is the author of the famous gambling book, Money Management for the Year Round Professional.
By: Tony Stoffo     Date: Aug 3, 2008
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Let me start off by saying that I feel the NFL preseason is a great opportunity to start and build a nice bankroll for the upcoming regular season. Many handicappers have the opinion that the preseason games should be left alone and not bet on. I feel just the opposite. If you do your homework the preseason games offer the betting public a tremendous chance to make a ton of money.  In the 2007 NFL preseason at 10starpicks my preseason selections went a documented 12-3 hitting at a solid 80%. All these plays were found in my 2007 preseason report I released.

In the preseason, many head coaches have a track record of wanting to win and some just don’t care and are just preparing for the regular season. You can find many games this preseason where you can get a definite edge. Below I have put together a list of all 32 teams with a breakdown of things to look for this preseason that will give you that winning advantage.

A very important thing to remember for this upcoming preseason is that there will be 4 new head coaches this season, so previous preseason trends for these teams are no longer valid. However I have found some nice hidden trends that can still show us a profit with these teams.

Here are the 4 teams with new head coaches for the upcoming season:

Atlanta - Mike Smith

Baltimore - John Harbaugh

Miami - Tony Sparano

Washington – Jim Zorn

OK so here are this year’s highly rated preseason money making trends for each NFC South team.

NFC South

Atlanta – After last year’s mess in Atlanta the Falcons start fresh with a new general manager in Thomas Dimitroff who comes from the Patriots organization and their new head coach will be Mike Smith who has helped build the solid Jacksonville defense as their defensive coordinator over the past 5 seasons. I look for Smith to immediately bring in the Jaguars mentality of a solid running game and a bruising defense. All this will lead to some very low scoring games this preseason for the Falcons making the under the strong value play here. Plus have to throw in that no matter who the head coach has been in their 'dress rehearsal' game the last four years the Falcons have gone a perfect 4-0 outscoring their opposition 104-42. This year’s 'dress rehearsal' game for the Falcons will be on August 22nd when they play Tennessee at home.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Chris Redman, Joey Harrington, Matt Ryan and D.J. Shockley

Carolina – With John Fox as head coach the Panthers are all over the place in the preseason thru the years showing no consistent trends that we can rely on a yearly basis. Except for one extremely strong trend that has seen Carolina lose their last preseason game of the year to the Steelers the last 3 years. So let’s look for this trend to continue this year as the Panthers pay a visit to Pittsburgh on August 28th.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Jake Delhomme, Brett Basanez, Matt Moore, and Lester Ricard

New Orleans – In his 2 years as head coach of the Saints Sean Payton has gone just 4-5 against the spread. However a nice value play for this upcoming preseason is that New Orleans has lost 3 of their 4 home games under Payton.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Drew Bees, Mark Brunell Tyler Palko

Tampa Bay – The Buccaneers have one of the top preseason trends that we look forward to every year. Tampa Bay has been a perfect 6-0 in their opening preseason game the last six years.  I look for this trend to easily continue this year with the great quarterback rotation that the Buccaneers have this preseason.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Chris Simms, Jeff Garcia, Brian Griese, Luke McCown, Josh Johnson

 
 





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