Blue Jays starting pitcher Ricky Romero is 10-8 with a 3.54 ERA in 26 starts this season and the club has dropped his last two outings. In that span, he has allowed 10 runs (seven earned) and 13 hits over 12.2 innings. The left-hander is an even 5-5 with a 4.17 ERA in 15 road starts this year. In three career games versus the Rays, Romero stands at a 1-1 record and 2.57 ERA.

Tampa Bay kept pace with the New York Yankees in the AL East divisional race for the eighth consecutive day with a 6-2 series opening win against the Blue Jays at Tropicana Field. The Rays have won 12 of 16 overall and 22 of 28 at Tropicana Field. The club is 7-6 in the season series this season after going 14-4 during the 2009 campaign. Against divisional foes, Tampa has posted a stellar 31-19 record and the total runs is 26-23 Over/Under in those games.

Rays starting pitcher Jeff Niemann is 10-4 with a 3.67 ERA in 23 starts this season and is coming off a dreadful appearance. He allowed 10 runs and eight hits over just 3.1 innings in a 12-3 road loss to the Angels. The right-hander is a solid 5-2 with a 2.85 ERA in 12 home starts, issuing 24 free passes and collecting 54 strikeouts in 75.2 frames. In six career starts versus the Blue Jays, Niemann has posted a 3-1 record and 4.04 ERA.

Recommended Bet

Bettors will find that the over is 5-1 in Romero's last six starts overall, which fits nicely with the Rays averaging 5.2 runs per game against left-handers. The over is also 5-1 in Niemann's last six starts.

Back: Over 8.5 Runs (2.00/Even)