Articles by Erik Scheponik |
8 College Hoops Sleepers from 8 Different Conferences
Erik Scheponik Nov 23, 2009
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Looking for teams that should be improved from last season, appear ready to take the next stop, and seem to be flying under the radar in preseason publications.
Atlantic 10 St. Bonaventure- 15 wins in the second year of Mark Schmidt's regime were the most the Bonnies' have had in 6 years. Covered 7 out of 9 to close out the regular season last season, with one of the non-cove ...
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Some Undervalued '09 CFB Football Teams
Erik Scheponik Aug 30, 2009
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Here we are going to take a look at some CFB teams that appear to me to be headed in the right direction. I look for an improvement from last year or even recent years. I'm not focused on what bowl these teams can make or how many games they will win, I'm simply looking for teams that I think are "under the radar" and can be better that what the media and the betting public are expecting. Th ...
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NBA 1st Round Playoff Preview
Erik Scheponik Apr 18, 2009
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Here are some tidbits on each of the opening round series matchups. Be sure to check out my NBA Playoff Package, as I've hit a documented 60% in this league over the last two seasons. The Game 1 free play at the end is an actual phone service selection!
Pistons vs. Cavaliers- Pistons played better ball down the stretch without Iverson, and their young guards Stuckey and By ...
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ESI 2009 Big Dance Preview
Erik Scheponik Mar 19, 2009
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Here is a preview of the 6 teams that ESI sees having a realistic chance to cut down the nets this season. Last season in this article, we correctly predicted Kansas as the national champion, but this year things truly are a little more wide open, as no team appears to be as complete a team as Kansas was. UConn may have been that team, but they lost not only a great player in Jerom Dyson a fe ...
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Handicapping The Bowls
Erik Scheponik Dec 14, 2008
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Here are some important factors to remember when handicapping the College Football Bowl Season. Enjoy, Good Luck, and Happy Holidays!
1. MOTIVATION- What teams truly do or do not want to be in that particular bowl game? Stay away from teams that may have expected to be in a much better bowl, especially if the loss occurred in their last 2 games. It is hard for a team to get ...
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NFL: A Game of Mistakes
Erik Scheponik Aug 26, 2008
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Last season in the NFL, teams that committed less (forced more) turnovers than their opponent logged an impressive 162-39 (81%) mark on the field, and a 155-41-5 record ATS (79%) (against the pointspread). Very impressive yes, but actually down from the '06 season where the teams went 173-38 SU (straight up) (82%), and 166-40-5 ATS (81%). In 2005, the numbers were 124-44 (74%) SU, and a 131- ...
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Some Handicapping 101 Truisms
Erik Scheponik Aug 26, 2008
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Sports Handicappers such as myself spend countless hours sifting through information, crunching numbers, and searching for line value. The best of us go all out in hopes for a 55-60% season ( 52.38% is the breakeven point assuming a 10% vigorish or juice), with very few of us actually able to achieve the higher end of that range. Sports Handicapping is the ultimate GRIND, there is no magic, and ...
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Erik Scheponik's NCAA Tourney Preview
Erik Scheponik Mar 20, 2008
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Okay, so now its my turn to play Dick Vitale and Jay Bilas real quick. I really can’t fathom South Alabama making this tournament. Sure they have the nice win over Mississippi St., but shouldn’t they have at least made the finals of a conference tournament played on their home court? Especially when that conference is the lowly Sun Belt (RPI 15). I definitely would have given that spot to I ...
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West Bracket (Phoenix Region) Breakdown
Erik Scheponik Mar 19, 2008
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Analysis for top half of the bracket is by Erik Scheponik (ESI) and Matty Baiungo (Matty B Sports). Analysis on bottom half, and future rounds is entirely Erik Scheponik's (ESI). Enjoy and realize that line movement and further analysis can change/strenghten our opinion by game day.
UCLA (1) vs. Mississippi Valley St. (16)
Ben Howland has taken the Bruins to back- ...
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Bracket Buster Scorecard
Erik Scheponik Feb 27, 2008
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Another Bracket Buster Weekend has come and gone, and handicappers should use what they learned this weekend as an aid for the postseason handicapping that lies just around the corner. Of course, as is the case with handicapping any other basketball game, the key is not just in charting the results, but interpreting why those results happened from a situational and fundamental point of view. ...
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Peaking at the Right Time
Erik Scheponik Feb 23, 2008
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To quote Lou Brown from the movie Major League “It’s all starting to come together” for the 3 NCAA and 1 NBA teams that Erik has circled to make some major noise down the stretch and into the postseason.
Louisville- Sometimes you can take coach’s interviews as mere coachspeak and other times there’s something to be learned. All you had to do is watch Rick Piti ...
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Handicapping the Bowls
Erik Scheponik Dec 18, 2007
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Here are some important factors to remember when handicapping the College Football Bowl Season. Enjoy, Good Luck, and Happy Holidays!
1. MOTIVATION- What teams truly do or do not want to be in that particular bowl game? Stay away from teams that may have expected to be in a much better bowl, especially if the loss occurred in their last 2 games. It is hard for a team to get ...
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NFL Midterm Report
Erik Scheponik Nov 11, 2007
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Here’s some random thoughts, stats, and facts for all 32 teams in the NFL. The teams are listed in the order that they are ranked in my NFL Power Rankings.
1. New England- What can be said about these Pats that hasn’t already been said already? How about this one…They have scored in 29 out of 32 quarters this season. And as if they weren’t disgustingly good enough on bot ...
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Random College Football Musings 11/2
Erik Scheponik Nov 3, 2007
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- In a game where neither coach coached like they wanted to win the game, and the team that totally outplayed its opponent lost, Phillip Fulmer pulled a very stupid move, but got bailed out by a fresman kicker against South Carolina. With 1:20 and 2 timeouts left as South Carolina’s Ryan Succop lined up to kick a 48 yd. game winning FG…Fulmer calmer called a timeout to ice the kicker. Hey Ph ...
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NFL 1st Quarter Report
Erik Scheponik Oct 14, 2007
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Now that every NFL team has played 4 games (the majority have played 5, but this list has been under construction for about a week now), here are 25 totally random thoughts on the season thus far.
1. Nothing's changed...Success, both on the field and against the pointspread (ATS) in the NFL is still more dependent on turnovers than any other factor. Teams that win the turnover bat ...
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CFB Conference vs. Conference Results
Erik Scheponik Sep 21, 2007
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Here are SU and ATS results for each conference from NCAA Week 1 and 2, These results will help us over the early part of the season during out-of-conference matchups, and will be revisited at bowl season to gauge conference strength… Results of all conference matchups and matchups with 1AA (Sorry, that what I’ll always call ‘em!) competition are not included, but it has been noted if a conf ...
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4 Undervalued NFL Teams for 2007
Erik Scheponik Sep 8, 2007
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Here is my list of 4 NFL teams that I feel enter the 2007 season a bit undervalued. Now I don’t expect all or even half of these teams to make the playoffs this season, I simply think they are being underrated by the media and perhaps the linesmaker and can improve off of last season. In the same article last season, the 5 teams I isolated as undervalued for ‘06 were: Atlanta, Baltimore, Minnes ...
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Conference-by-Conference, Week 1 Results
Erik Scheponik Sep 5, 2007
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Here are ATS results for each conference from NCAA Week 1, along with some comments. These results will help us over the next couple of weeks while there are still alot of out-of-conference matchups, and will be revisited at bowl season to gauge conference strength… Results of all conference matchups and matchups with 1AA (Sorry, that what I’ll always call ‘em!) competition were not included. ...
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3 Major Conference Sleeper/Value Teams
Erik Scheponik Aug 24, 2007
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Northwestern- (Big 10) This team went through some growing pains last season after the tragic loss of HC Randy Walker, and some bad luck with the injury bug. However, I believe that new HC Pat Fitzgerald made the best of a bad situation in his first year at the helm at only 34 years of age. I think Fitzgerald has the makings of a very good head coach, and improvement was apparent o ...
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The NFL: A Game of Mistakes
Erik Scheponik Aug 18, 2007
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Last season in the NFL, teams that committed less (forced more) turnovers than their opponent logged an impressive 173-38 (82%)record on the field (SU), going 166-40-4 (81%) against the pointspread (ATS). Very impressive yes, but only slightly above the norm. In 2005, the numbers were 124-44 (74%) SU, and a 131-33 mark (80%) against the pointspread (ATS). In '04 these turnover winners logged ...
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