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Home / Capper Profiles / Jimmy Boyd

Jimmy Boyd
7-4 in Wk 13 NCAAF action profits Dime Players $10,000! Now it's time to break the Bank with Boyd's Sunday NFL 5-Pack featuring his 5 NFL Total of the Year! 5 NBA West Coast GOTY tests 4-1 NBA run also!

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YESTERDAY'S PICKS

Saturday, November 22, 2008

Michigan State vs. Penn State (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EST	Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: 14.5/-112 Michigan State Play Title: Big Ten Underdog of the Year	Loss
Click Here to View Play Analysis 5* Big Ten Underdog of the Year on Michigan State +14.5 There's no way that Michigan State gets blown out of the building with a Big Ten title on the line. Michigan State is a very similar team to Iowa, who upset the Lions, with its strong running game and I like the Spartans to use their running game to control the clock and to give themselves a chance to win. Michigan State is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons, 7-0 ATS in road games after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons, 6-0 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons, and 8-0 ATS after allowing 2.75 or less yards/play in their previous game since 1992. Take the points.

Boise State vs. Nevada (NCAAF) - 4:00 PM EST	Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: -6/102 Boise State Play Title: Road Chalk BLOWOUT of the Year	Win
Click Here to View Play Analysis 5* Road Chalk BLOWOUT of the Year on Boise State -6 Boise State is 10-0 and at this point I can't see the Broncos letting any team stand in their way to screw up a chance at getting a BCS Bowl bid. Boise State has won 8 straight in this series and is 7-1 ATS in those games. Last season, Boise State was a 25.5-point favorite against the Wolf Pack and ended up having to hold on for a 69-67 win. The Broncos will definitely learn from that game and they will be much more confident this time around with a stronger defense, ranking 12th in the country. Boise State is 18-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) since 1992, 20-5 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging >=425 yards/game since 1992, and s 24-5 ATS off a road win against a conference rival since 1992. Lay the number.

Tulane vs. Tulsa (NCAAF) - 3:00 PM EST	Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: -28.5/-105 Tulsa	Win
Click Here to View Play Analysis 3* SMASH on Tulsa -28.5 We'll play on a home team (TULSA) off 1 or more straight overs, an excellent offensive team (>=34 PPG) against a poor defensive team (28-34 PPG) after 7+ games. This system is 25-6 ATS the last 10 seasons. Tulane is also 0-7 ATS in road games versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=230 rushing yards/game since 1992 and 1-11 ATS in road games versus good rushing teams - averaging >=200 rushing yards/game since 1992. After getting crushed at Houston, I expect Tulsa to take out its frustration on Tulane. Lay the number.

Marshall vs. Rice (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EST	Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: -9.5/-105 Rice	Win
Click Here to View Play Analysis 3* SMASH on Rice -9.5 Rice is 13-0 ATS in home games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game since 1992, winning by an average score of 36.4 to 22.6 in these spots. Rice is also a dominant 17-5 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Rice is a perfect 4-0 at home this season and I like the Owls to bury Marshall this week on their home field.

Mississippi vs. LSU (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EST	Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: 4.5/-111 Mississippi Play Title: SEC SMASH of the Month	Win
Click Here to View Play Analysis 4* Major SEC SMASH of the Month on Ole Miss +4.5 Ole Miss has played its best football against the best opponents this season. The Rebs played Alabama as tough as anyone this season at Alabama and beat Florida in the Swamp to hand the Gators their only loss of the season. LSU is 0-9 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.75 rushing yards/carry over the last 2 seasons, 0-6 ATS in home games this season, 0-7 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons, and 0-7 ATS in home games after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game since 1992. Take the points.

Akron vs. Ohio (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EST	Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: -2.5/-109 Akron	Loss
Click Here to View Play Analysis 3* SMASH on Akron -2.5 This is a no brainer with as poorly as Ohio has been playing. Plays against a home team (OHIO U) after being beaten by the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games are 35-10 ATS the last 10 seasons. Lay the number.

UNLV vs. San Diego State (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EST	Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: -12/-115 UNLV	Loss
Click Here to View Play Analysis 3* SMASH on UNLV -12 UNLV has won back-to-back games, beating a New Mexico team during that stretch that crushed SDSU 70-7. SDSU has owned the Rebs the last two seasons and this is where UNLV pays SDSU back in a big way. The Aztecs are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. The Runnin' Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games while the Aztecs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games. SDSU is 0-7 in conference play this season and it's not going to get any prettier for them from here on out.

Central Florida vs. New Mexico (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EST	Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: -15/-120 New Mexico	Loss
Click Here to View Play Analysis 4* Major Big Chalk BLOWOUT of the Month on New Mexico -15 We'll play on home favorites of 10 or more points (NEW MEXICO) - good defensive team from last season - shooting pct defense of <=42%, after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better. This system is 49-18 ATS since 1997. New Mexico is 20-5 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons, a perfect 10-0 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 2 seasons, 7-0 ATS after allowing 50 points or less over the last 2 seasons, and 6-0 ATS after a game where it made 55% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons. Lay the points.

Western Kentucky vs. Murray State (NCAAB) - 8:00 PM EST	Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: -1/-123 Murray State	Win
Click Here to View Play Analysis 3* SMASH on Murray State -1 Murray State is 10-2 ATS after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons, bouncing back to win by an average score of 68.7 to 61.3 in these spots. Off a terrible offensive performance against Ark St., I like Murray to get back in the win column at home today. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games. Take Murray State.

Kansas State vs. Cleveland State (NCAAB) - 7:00 PM EST	Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: -1.5/-119 Cleveland State	Loss
Click Here to View Play Analysis 3* SMASH on Cleveland State -1.5 Plays against road teams as an underdog or pick (KANSAS ST) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout wins by 20 points or more are 40-15 ATS since 1997. K-State is 0-6 ATS in road games after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. This is not the same K-State team we saw a season ago with Beasley and Walker. With just 1 starter returning, the Cats are going to take some licks against stiff competition. Lay the points.

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